{
  "metric": "Overall Homeless",
  "methodology": "Pearson r / Spearman rho / least-squares fit between CAL FIRE DINS structures destroyed (>50% damage) within a CoC's boundary and that CoC's HUD Point-in-Time homeless count, pooled across 2013-2024 (the years DINS coverage overlaps PIT data). lag0 pairs same-year structures destroyed with the PIT count; lag1 pairs a year's destroyed structures with next year's PIT count. This is the same statistical design as compute_fire_influence.py, substituting structures-destroyed for acres-burned as a more causally direct housing-loss proxy -- burned wildland doesn't display anyone, a destroyed home might.",
  "statewide": {
    "lag0": {
      "n": 516,
      "pearson_r": 0.0028,
      "spearman_rho": 0.0054,
      "p_value": 0.94922,
      "slope": 0.024678,
      "intercept": 3172.205,
      "strength": "negligible",
      "mean_structures_destroyed": 104.29,
      "mean_homeless": 3174.8
    },
    "lag1": {
      "n": 476,
      "pearson_r": -0.0001,
      "spearman_rho": -0.0737,
      "p_value": 0.99856,
      "slope": -0.000713,
      "intercept": 3192.587,
      "strength": "negligible",
      "mean_structures_destroyed": 109.65,
      "mean_homeless": 3192.5
    }
  },
  "by_coc": {
    "CA-500": {
      "coc_name": "San Jose/Santa Clara City & County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": 0.202,
        "spearman_rho": -0.0367,
        "p_value": 0.51416,
        "slope": 10.975088,
        "intercept": 7745.197,
        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 14.58,
        "mean_homeless": 7905.2
      },
      "lag1": {
        "n": 11,
        "pearson_r": -0.7967,
        "spearman_rho": -0.3873,
        "p_value": 8e-05,
        "slope": -43.507214,
        "intercept": 8622.342,
        "strength": "strong",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 15.91,
        "mean_homeless": 7930.2
      }
    },
    "CA-501": {
      "coc_name": "San Francisco CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": null,
        "spearman_rho": null,
        "p_value": null,
        "slope": 0.0,
        "intercept": 7060.0,
        "strength": "n/a",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 0.0,
        "mean_homeless": 7060.0
      },
      "lag1": {
        "n": 11,
        "pearson_r": null,
        "spearman_rho": null,
        "p_value": null,
        "slope": 0.0,
        "intercept": 7064.727,
        "strength": "n/a",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 0.0,
        "mean_homeless": 7064.7
      }
    },
    "CA-502": {
      "coc_name": "Oakland, Berkeley/Alameda County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": 0.225,
        "spearman_rho": 0.2184,
        "p_value": 0.46516,
        "slope": 51.601399,
        "intercept": 6124.545,
        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 3.25,
        "mean_homeless": 6292.2
      },
      "lag1": {
        "n": 11,
        "pearson_r": -0.4969,
        "spearman_rho": -0.5,
        "p_value": 0.0858,
        "slope": -110.864103,
        "intercept": 6869.7,
        "strength": "moderate",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 3.55,
        "mean_homeless": 6476.6
      }
    },
    "CA-503": {
      "coc_name": "Sacramento City & County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": 0.5574,
        "spearman_rho": 0.393,
        "p_value": 0.03377,
        "slope": 1690.090909,
        "intercept": 4207.727,
        "strength": "strong",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 0.25,
        "mean_homeless": 4630.2
      },
      "lag1": {
        "n": 11,
        "pearson_r": 0.5549,
        "spearman_rho": 0.5,
        "p_value": 0.0454,
        "slope": 1635.533333,
        "intercept": 4374.4,
        "strength": "strong",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 0.27,
        "mean_homeless": 4820.5
      }
    },
    "CA-504": {
      "coc_name": "Santa Rosa, Petaluma/Sonoma County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": -0.0207,
        "spearman_rho": -0.3322,
        "p_value": 0.94785,
        "slope": -0.009647,
        "intercept": 2885.109,
        "strength": "negligible",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 667.83,
        "mean_homeless": 2878.7
      },
      "lag1": {
        "n": 11,
        "pearson_r": -0.0091,
        "spearman_rho": -0.1636,
        "p_value": 0.97817,
        "slope": -0.003726,
        "intercept": 2753.984,
        "strength": "negligible",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 727.64,
        "mean_homeless": 2751.3
      }
    },
    "CA-505": {
      "coc_name": "Richmond/Contra Costa County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": 0.0674,
        "spearman_rho": 0.0437,
        "p_value": 0.8309,
        "slope": 68.045455,
        "intercept": 2097.909,
        "strength": "negligible",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 0.17,
        "mean_homeless": 2109.2
      },
      "lag1": {
        "n": 11,
        "pearson_r": 0.0955,
        "spearman_rho": 0.2,
        "p_value": 0.77344,
        "slope": 96.7,
        "intercept": 2101.6,
        "strength": "negligible",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 0.18,
        "mean_homeless": 2119.2
      }
    },
    "CA-506": {
      "coc_name": "Salinas/Monterey, San Benito Counties CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": 0.0872,
        "spearman_rho": -0.2807,
        "p_value": 0.78193,
        "slope": 1.830532,
        "intercept": 2661.074,
        "strength": "negligible",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 16.67,
        "mean_homeless": 2691.6
      },
      "lag1": {
        "n": 11,
        "pearson_r": -0.5831,
        "spearman_rho": 0.0545,
        "p_value": 0.03129,
        "slope": -12.304825,
        "intercept": 2891.36,
        "strength": "strong",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 18.18,
        "mean_homeless": 2667.6
      }
    },
    "CA-507": {
      "coc_name": "Marin County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": null,
        "spearman_rho": null,
        "p_value": null,
        "slope": 0.0,
        "intercept": 980.25,
        "strength": "n/a",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 0.0,
        "mean_homeless": 980.2
      },
      "lag1": {
        "n": 11,
        "pearson_r": null,
        "spearman_rho": null,
        "p_value": null,
        "slope": 0.0,
        "intercept": 1007.909,
        "strength": "n/a",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 0.0,
        "mean_homeless": 1007.9
      }
    },
    "CA-508": {
      "coc_name": "Watsonville/Santa Cruz City & County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": 0.0122,
        "spearman_rho": 0.1344,
        "p_value": 0.96931,
        "slope": 0.021635,
        "intercept": 2225.161,
        "strength": "negligible",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 119.67,
        "mean_homeless": 2227.8
      },
      "lag1": {
        "n": 11,
        "pearson_r": -0.6812,
        "spearman_rho": -0.1348,
        "p_value": 0.00525,
        "slope": -1.006929,
        "intercept": 2240.268,
        "strength": "strong",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 130.55,
        "mean_homeless": 2108.8
      }
    },
    "CA-509": {
      "coc_name": "Mendocino County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": 0.2234,
        "spearman_rho": -0.0821,
        "p_value": 0.46864,
        "slope": 0.472554,
        "intercept": 905.622,
        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 57.58,
        "mean_homeless": 932.8
      },
      "lag1": {
        "n": 11,
        "pearson_r": -0.1025,
        "spearman_rho": -0.2088,
        "p_value": 0.7573,
        "slope": -0.195909,
        "intercept": 903.398,
        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 62.82,
        "mean_homeless": 891.1
      }
    },
    "CA-510": {
      "coc_name": "Turlock, Modesto/Stanislaus County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": 0.2328,
        "spearman_rho": 0.5214,
        "p_value": 0.44906,
        "slope": 17.742332,
        "intercept": 1727.453,
        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 2.08,
        "mean_homeless": 1764.4
      },
      "lag1": {
        "n": 11,
        "pearson_r": 0.7627,
        "spearman_rho": 0.5394,
        "p_value": 0.0004,
        "slope": 54.672585,
        "intercept": 1691.38,
        "strength": "strong",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 2.27,
        "mean_homeless": 1815.6
      }
    },
    "CA-511": {
      "coc_name": "Stockton/San Joaquin County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": 0.4669,
        "spearman_rho": 0.6397,
        "p_value": 0.09504,
        "slope": 69.545455,
        "intercept": 1954.636,
        "strength": "moderate",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 2.5,
        "mean_homeless": 2128.5
      },
      "lag1": {
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        "spearman_rho": -0.5,
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        "intercept": 2311.6,
        "strength": "moderate",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 2.0,
        "mean_homeless": 2181.9
      }
    },
    "CA-512": {
      "coc_name": "Daly/San Mateo County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": 0.0005,
        "spearman_rho": 0.0437,
        "p_value": 0.99876,
        "slope": 0.012121,
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        "strength": "negligible",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 5.0,
        "mean_homeless": 1571.3
      },
      "lag1": {
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        "strength": "strong",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 5.45,
        "mean_homeless": 1532.8
      }
    },
    "CA-513": {
      "coc_name": "Visalia/Kings, Tulare Counties CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": 0.2185,
        "spearman_rho": 0.0876,
        "p_value": 0.47884,
        "slope": 1.128096,
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        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 21.25,
        "mean_homeless": 1014.5
      },
      "lag1": {
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        "slope": -2.547879,
        "intercept": 1101.469,
        "strength": "strong",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 23.09,
        "mean_homeless": 1042.6
      }
    },
    "CA-514": {
      "coc_name": "Fresno City & County/Madera County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": 0.2479,
        "spearman_rho": 0.1177,
        "p_value": 0.41844,
        "slope": 1.153243,
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        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 79.0,
        "mean_homeless": 2804.2
      },
      "lag1": {
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        "intercept": 2961.389,
        "strength": "moderate",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 85.64,
        "mean_homeless": 2774.5
      }
    },
    "CA-515": {
      "coc_name": "Rocklin/Roseville/Placer County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": -0.2807,
        "spearman_rho": -0.2742,
        "p_value": 0.35511,
        "slope": -1.781022,
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        "mean_structures_destroyed": 8.42,
        "mean_homeless": 803.8
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      "lag1": {
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        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 9.18,
        "mean_homeless": 794.4
      }
    },
    "CA-516": {
      "coc_name": "Redding/Shasta, Siskiyou, Lassen, Plumas, Del Norte, Modoc, Sierra Counties CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": -0.2512,
        "spearman_rho": -0.1119,
        "p_value": 0.41174,
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        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 415.42,
        "mean_homeless": 1321.6
      },
      "lag1": {
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        "intercept": 1319.238,
        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 452.45,
        "mean_homeless": 1364.4
      }
    },
    "CA-517": {
      "coc_name": "Napa City & County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": 0.2315,
        "spearman_rho": 0.0896,
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        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 206.5,
        "mean_homeless": 348.2
      },
      "lag1": {
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        "strength": "strong",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 225.27,
        "mean_homeless": 357.5
      }
    },
    "CA-518": {
      "coc_name": "Vallejo/Solano County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": -0.0038,
        "spearman_rho": 0.1129,
        "p_value": 0.99038,
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        "mean_homeless": 1166.6
      },
      "lag1": {
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        "strength": "strong",
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        "mean_homeless": 1151.8
      }
    },
    "CA-519": {
      "coc_name": "Chico, Paradise/Butte County CoC",
      "lag0": {
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        "pearson_r": 0.21,
        "spearman_rho": 0.6867,
        "p_value": 0.49699,
        "slope": 0.012734,
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        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 1822.17,
        "mean_homeless": 961.3
      },
      "lag1": {
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        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 1942.73,
        "mean_homeless": 984.0
      }
    },
    "CA-520": {
      "coc_name": "Merced City & County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
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        "spearman_rho": null,
        "p_value": null,
        "slope": 0.0,
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      },
      "lag1": {
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        "strength": "n/a",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 0.0,
        "mean_homeless": 700.5
      }
    },
    "CA-521": {
      "coc_name": "Davis, Woodland/Yolo County CoC",
      "lag0": {
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        "pearson_r": -0.096,
        "spearman_rho": -0.0275,
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        "slope": -1.841621,
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        "strength": "negligible",
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        "mean_homeless": 578.9
      },
      "lag1": {
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        "intercept": 603.311,
        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 4.45,
        "mean_homeless": 588.5
      }
    },
    "CA-522": {
      "coc_name": "Humboldt County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": -0.1535,
        "spearman_rho": 0.0783,
        "p_value": 0.62336,
        "slope": -51.054545,
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        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 0.58,
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      },
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        "strength": "moderate",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 0.55,
        "mean_homeless": 1205.5
      }
    },
    "CA-523": {
      "coc_name": "Colusa, Glenn, Trinity Counties CoC",
      "lag0": {
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        "mean_homeless": 291.6
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        "mean_structures_destroyed": 21.09,
        "mean_homeless": 254.8
      }
    },
    "CA-524": {
      "coc_name": "Yuba City & County/Sutter County CoC",
      "lag0": {
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        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 27.09,
        "mean_homeless": 833.6
      }
    },
    "CA-525": {
      "coc_name": "El Dorado County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": -0.4554,
        "spearman_rho": 0.2692,
        "p_value": 0.10577,
        "slope": -0.322932,
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        "strength": "moderate",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 88.33,
        "mean_homeless": 401.8
      },
      "lag1": {
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        "intercept": 412.063,
        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 96.27,
        "mean_homeless": 421.9
      }
    },
    "CA-526": {
      "coc_name": "Amador, Calaveras, Mariposa, Tuolumne Counties CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 12,
        "pearson_r": -0.1829,
        "spearman_rho": -0.2567,
        "p_value": 0.55635,
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        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 110.58,
        "mean_homeless": 540.8
      },
      "lag1": {
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        "intercept": 542.058,
        "strength": "weak",
        "mean_structures_destroyed": 118.91,
        "mean_homeless": 555.8
      }
    },
    "CA-527": {
      "coc_name": "Tehama County CoC",
      "lag0": {
        "n": 10,
        "pearson_r": 0.4196,
        "spearman_rho": 0.3576,
        "p_value": 0.19108,
        "slope": 0.415117,
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      },
      "lag1": {
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